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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November."Black Myth: Wukong" won two TGA awards and is competing for the best game of the year. On December 13th, the reporter learned that at the TGA(The Game Awards)2024 award ceremony, the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" won the best action game and the player's voice award, and the best game award is in the competition. Jiang Baicun, the director of the planning of Black Myth: Wukong, said in his acceptance speech: "It is a great honor to win this award. First of all, I want to thank every player. It is your support that makes such an oriental myth about courage and wisdom shine on such a stage. I also want to thank the organizers for not setting up an' air wall' during my coming to power." (Dahe Finance Cube)

The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange closed down 0.1% at 23,020.48 points.Thailand's finance minister said that Thailand is expected to levy the lowest corporate tax in the world from January 2025.Li Zaiming, leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement urging members of the ruling party to support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement in the National Assembly on the 13th, calling on members of the ruling party, members of the National Force, to vote on the impeachment case of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th and support the passage of the case.

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation. On the 13th local time, the South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation.In the first 11 months of this year, Guangdong's import and export increased by 10% year-on-year. According to statistics from Guangdong Branch of the General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months of this year, Guangdong's foreign trade import and export reached 8.27 trillion yuan, up by 10% year-on-year, faster than the national growth rate by 5.1 percentage points, accounting for 20.8% of the national total import and export value. Among them, exports were 5.37 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.7%; Imports reached 2.9 trillion yuan, up by 12.6%.